Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000755 0.000795 0.000836 0.000880 0.000928 0.000977 0.001032
2025-08-24 0.000679 0.000735 0.000795 0.000863 0.000938 0.001019 0.001112
2025-08-31 0.000631 0.000699 0.000774 0.000860 0.000959 0.001069 0.001201
2025-09-07 0.000589 0.000665 0.000749 0.000851 0.000969 0.001104 0.001271
2025-09-14 0.000556 0.000638 0.000731 0.000845 0.000982 0.001141 0.001342
2025-09-21 0.000527 0.000613 0.000713 0.000837 0.000988 0.001169 0.001402
2025-09-28 0.000501 0.000590 0.000694 0.000826 0.000991 0.001191 0.001456
2025-10-05 0.000472 0.000562 0.000669 0.000807 0.000980 0.001195 0.001484
2025-10-12 0.000453 0.000545 0.000656 0.000800 0.000986 0.001219 0.001539
2025-10-19 0.000437 0.000530 0.000644 0.000795 0.000991 0.001242 0.001592
2025-10-26 0.000426 0.000523 0.000641 0.000800 0.001010 0.001283 0.001671
2025-11-02 0.000411 0.000508 0.000628 0.000792 0.001011 0.001299 0.001715
2025-11-09 0.000391 0.000488 0.000609 0.000776 0.001002 0.001303 0.001747
2025-11-16 0.000376 0.000473 0.000596 0.000766 0.001001 0.001319 0.001795
2025-11-23 0.000365 0.000463 0.000589 0.000766 0.001013 0.001353 0.001870
2025-11-30 0.000352 0.000450 0.000578 0.000759 0.001014 0.001371 0.001923
2025-12-07 0.000342 0.000440 0.000569 0.000754 0.001019 0.001395 0.001986
2025-12-14 0.000330 0.000429 0.000559 0.000747 0.001020 0.001411 0.002037
2025-12-21 0.000319 0.000417 0.000547 0.000738 0.001017 0.001423 0.002082
2025-12-28 0.000306 0.000402 0.000531 0.000721 0.001002 0.001415 0.002094
2026-01-04 0.000297 0.000393 0.000523 0.000716 0.001004 0.001433 0.002149
2026-01-11 0.000289 0.000385 0.000515 0.000711 0.001006 0.001451 0.002204
2026-01-18 0.000285 0.000381 0.000514 0.000715 0.001023 0.001492 0.002299